Q3 2026 results

MetricResultChange
Revenue$20.7 billionup 11% year-over-year
Earnings per share$7.97compared to $6.95 in the prior year period
Segment operating profit$2.2 billionNot stated
Free cash flow$3 billionNot stated
Backlog$292 billionup $113 billion compared to the third quarter of 2025

Guidance and outlook

  • Full year 2026 sales: $80 billion to $82 billion
  • Segment operating profit: $8.575 billion to $8.675 billion
  • Cash from operations: $10 billion to $10.2 billion
  • Free cash flow: $7.8 billion to $8 billion

How management sounded

Positive (+7 on our -10 to +10 scale). Management raised full-year expectations for sales, earnings, and cash flow, citing strong execution and a record backlog of $292 billion. Management sounded more upbeat than on 48% of the 190 calls we cover; most companies sound positive on their own calls, so the comparison says more than the label.

Q&A summary

Growth drivers

Asked: How does management view the multiyear growth opportunity outside of the Missiles and Fire Control segment?

Answer: Management highlighted strength in radar, national security space, and F-35 sustainment, alongside new programs like Vectus that provide a clear line of sight to revenue growth.

Engineering culture

Asked: How is the company evolving its internal engineering culture?

Answer: The company is using mission technology road maps, model-based engineering, and increased R&D investment to build prototypes ahead of formal government requests.

Vectus and Skunkworks

Asked: What is the strategy for the Vectus initiative and Skunkworks?

Answer: Vectus is part of an air power strategy to optimize combat capability, focusing on air dominance and strike missions by integrating autonomous systems with manned aircraft.

Missile ramp contracting

Asked: How do the new framework agreements impact risk and cash flow?

Answer: The agreements provide long-term visibility and cash neutrality, allowing suppliers to invest in production capacity without the risks associated with annual repricing.

What to watch before the next call

  • Finalization of profit terms and schedules for the new framework agreements.
  • Impact of U.S. federal budget and continuing resolutions on new program starts.
  • Integration of the Ultra Maritime acquisition in the fourth quarter.