Q1 FY2027 results

MetricResultChange
Revenue$8.22 billionup 54% year-over-year
EPS$2.20record
Gross Margin52.4%record
Operating Margin40.2%record
Free Cash Flow$3.24 billionrecord

Guidance and outlook

  • Revenue of $8.6 billion, plus or minus $400 million.
  • Gross margin of 52.5%, plus or minus 1 percentage point.
  • Operating margin of 40.5%, plus or minus 1 percentage point.
  • Earnings per share of $2.33, plus or minus $0.15.

How management sounded

Positive (+7 on our -10 to +10 scale). Management reported record revenue and margins while highlighting strong AI-driven demand and a positive outlook for 2027. Management sounded more upbeat than on 48% of the 190 calls we cover; most companies sound positive on their own calls, so the comparison says more than the label.

Q&A summary

Supply Constraints

Asked: How much are supply constraints costing in the December quarter?

Answer: Management noted revenue would have been higher without constraints and expects to ship that volume in the March quarter.

3D DRAM vs 4F Square

Asked: How does Lam position itself regarding the shift to 3D DRAM?

Answer: Management stated that as architectures go 3D, etch and deposition intensity rises, which benefits Lam.

China Revenue

Asked: How will China revenue trend in the December quarter?

Answer: China revenue is expected to be meaningfully down in the December quarter compared to the September quarter.

NAND Upgrades

Asked: What is the status of the NAND upgrade cycle?

Answer: The upgrade cycle is expected to finish in 2027, with customers already moving into 300 and 400 layer devices.

What to watch before the next call

  • Clean room availability and supply chain constraints for 2027.
  • The pace of NAND upgrade cycles and adoption of SLC storage tiers.
  • The ramp of panel-level packaging market share.