Q3 2026 results

MetricResultChange
Revenue$1.3 billionup 29% year-over-year
Net Income$200 millionNot stated
Diluted EPS$0.38Not stated
Cash and Investments$8 billionNot stated
Cost of Sales$318 million54% increase year-over-year

Guidance and outlook

  • Full-year 2026 revenue growth is expected to be in a range of 15% to 25%.
  • R&D expenses are expected to be $2.7 billion.
  • SG&A expenses are expected to be approximately $1 billion.
  • Cash and investments at year-end 2026 are projected to be between $8.1 billion and $8.3 billion.
  • Capital expenditure estimate is $200 million.

How management sounded

Positive (+7 on our -10 to +10 scale). Management raised full-year revenue guidance and highlighted strong commercial execution alongside positive Phase III data for their cancer therapy. Management sounded more upbeat than on 48% of the 190 calls we cover; most companies sound positive on their own calls, so the comparison says more than the label.

Q&A summary

Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC) Trial

Asked: What is the confidence level in the upcoming event-driven Phase II RCC readout?

Answer: Management is confident because RCC is a T-cell sensitive disease and the Phase II melanoma trial showed efficacy across both high and low tumor mutational burden populations.

Intismeran BLA Submission

Asked: What is the status of the BLA submission for intismeran?

Answer: The company is working closely with Merck to submit the BLA this year and hopes for approval next year.

Norovirus Program

Asked: Why did the company change the plan for the norovirus vaccine program?

Answer: The Phase III study did not meet early success criteria, so the company will consult with regulators before deciding on next steps.

2026 Growth

Asked: How much of the revenue growth is due to timing versus demand?

Answer: Growth is broad-based across U.S. and international markets, driven by strong mNEXSPIKE adoption and strategic partnerships.

What to watch before the next call

  • Upcoming Analyst Day on November 12.
  • Event-driven Phase II renal cell carcinoma readout.
  • BLA submission for intismeran.
  • Registrational readout in propionic acidemia.

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