Q2 2026 results

MetricResultChange
Net sales$26.5 billion5.3% higher than last year
Comparable sales3.8%Not stated
Operating margin rate9.6%Compared with 5.2% last year
GAAP and adjusted EPS$4.11Compared with $2.05 last year
Inventory$13.2 billionUp 3% from last year

Guidance and outlook

  • Full year net sales growth is expected to be in a range around 5%.
  • Full year EPS is expected to be in a range of $9.90 to $10.90.
  • Full year operating margin rate, excluding tariff refunds, is expected to be around 0.5 percentage point higher than last year's 4.6%.

How management sounded

Positive (+6 on our -10 to +10 scale). Management raised full-year guidance and highlighted strong traffic growth, though they remained realistic about the multiyear turnaround needed in home and apparel categories. Management sounded more upbeat than on 8% of the 190 calls we cover; most companies sound positive on their own calls, so the comparison says more than the label.

Q&A summary

Traffic sustainability

Asked: How sustainable is the traffic momentum, and why did home and apparel lag?

Answer: Traffic is a key indicator of trust, and the company is encouraged by the response to store changes. Home and apparel are longer lead-time categories requiring multiyear work, though specific segments like kids apparel are showing growth.

Back-to-school

Asked: What are the expectations for the back-to-school season?

Answer: Early results are encouraging, with strong performance in school supplies and apparel, supported by improved in-stock positions.

Home and apparel turnaround

Asked: Why is the turnaround in home and apparel taking longer?

Answer: These are longer lead-time businesses, and the company is executing changes category by category with plans extending into 2027.

Tariff refunds

Asked: Are there more tariff refunds expected, and how should investors view the earnings base?

Answer: Most refunds are accounted for, and investors should focus on adjusted EPS excluding these one-time benefits to understand underlying performance.

What to watch before the next call

  • Execution of the remaining multiyear turnaround plans for home and apparel categories.
  • Performance of the new Target Beauty Studio rollout in over 600 stores.
  • Management of inventory levels and in-stock reliability as the company continues to drive store transitions.