Q3 2026 results

MetricResultChange
Revenue$30 billionup 3% year-over-year
Net Income$6.9 billionNot stated
Earnings Per Share$0.91Not stated
Net Interest Yield2.16%up 15 basis points year-over-year
Provision Expense$1.3 billionlower than Q2

Guidance and outlook

  • Expects NII to improve sequentially in Q4 and through 2027.
  • Reaffirmed full-year 2026 NII growth guidance of approximately 8%.
  • Expects 2027 full-year NII growth of 8% or more.
  • Outlook assumes three 25 basis point rate increases through June 2027.

How management sounded

Positive (+6 on our -10 to +10 scale). Management emphasized the strength of their diversified business model, organic growth, and reaffirmed their 8% NII growth guidance for the year despite the regulatory settlement. Management sounded more upbeat than on 8% of the 190 calls we cover; most companies sound positive on their own calls, so the comparison says more than the label.

Q&A summary

Capital Management

Asked: How does the company balance balance sheet growth with capital returns?

Answer: Management stated they prioritize supporting client growth and regulatory requirements first, with the remaining capital returned to shareholders.

NII Outlook

Asked: What are the drivers for the 8% NII growth guidance?

Answer: Drivers include normal deposit growth, slowing pricing rotation, continued loan growth, and fixed-rate asset repricing.

Regulatory Settlement

Asked: Does the consent order impede business operations?

Answer: Management confirmed there is no asset cap and that remediation costs are already embedded in the company's expense base.

Markets Performance

Asked: Why was FICC trading revenue down?

Answer: Higher interest rates led to a slowdown in client activity for credit, mortgage, and municipal businesses.

What to watch before the next call

  • Finalization of new capital rules expected in Q4.
  • Performance of the Markets business in Q4 given potential seasonality.
  • Progress on the regulatory remediation efforts.