Q3 2026 results

MetricResultChange
Total Revenue$34.3 billionup 1.5% year-over-year
Adjusted EBITDA$13.8 billionup 8% year-over-year
Adjusted EPS$1.31up 8.3% year-over-year
Postpaid phone net additions406,000up 820% year-over-year
Free cash flow$7.8 billionup more than 12% year-over-year

Guidance and outlook

  • We now expect our postpaid phone net adds for 2026 to be 1.1 million to 1.2 million.
  • We now expect our 2026 full year adjusted EPS growth to be 7% to 7.5%.
  • We are raising our full year guidance for free cash flow growth to approach 12%.
  • We expect that Q4 mobility and broadband service revenue growth will accelerate to approximately 4%.

How management sounded

Positive (+7 on our -10 to +10 scale). Management raised full-year guidance for EPS and free cash flow while highlighting record-high margins and successful execution of their transformation program. Management sounded more upbeat than on 48% of the 190 calls we cover; most companies sound positive on their own calls, so the comparison says more than the label.

Q&A summary

Pricing and Volume

Asked: Can the volume momentum continue and what is the view on pricing power?

Answer: Management noted that they are winning customers without relying on free lines or heavy promotions and believes there is room to adjust pricing as they add value.

AI Connect

Asked: What is the pipeline and opportunity for hyperscale and neocloud deals?

Answer: Demand is strong across dark fiber, lit fiber, and edge compute, with $4 billion in signed contracts and significant growth potential in 2027.

LEO/Starlink Competition

Asked: What is the impact of potential LEO entry and will you offer an MVNO?

Answer: Management believes their terrestrial network is significantly more efficient and sees no benefit to extending an MVNO deal to satellite providers.

Fixed Wireless Access

Asked: How does FWA fit into the strategy and what are the speed standard issues?

Answer: The company is implementing a more sophisticated, segmented approach and launching a 1 gig FWA product in metro areas to increase their high-speed footprint.

What to watch before the next call

  • The rollout of the new high-speed FWA service in metro areas throughout 2027.
  • The impact of AI Connect revenue on financial results starting in 2027.
  • The progress of the $9 billion cost reduction program.